Steroids in baseball and the possible changes to the current policy? Here’s what I think of the things sportswriters are proposing:
- I don’t mind stiffer penalties but I don’t agree with banned for life on first offense. I mean it’s one thing if you’re a serial cheater like A-Rod, but what about a guy that stupidly screwed up what supplement he was taking? He deserves to be punished, yes, because it’s his responsibility to make sure he’s not screwing up, but taking his entire career away? I don’t agree with that and never will. So 1st offense, for me, can be anywhere from 50 to 162 games. I’m probably cool with a lifetime ban for a second offense.
- Demanding increased testing in the offseason is kind of ignorant. I mean, it sounds good in theory but I don’t think it can actually be done if you stop to think about it. How are you going to collect players’ urine in 20 different countries? How can you trust a urine sample collected in one of the countries where players have been found to have forged birth certificates? How do you in good conscience send sample collectors to “The Kidnap Capital of Latin America” aka Venezuela?
- I am against contract voiding and always will be. The owners are members of the wealthiest 1% of this country – a population littered with white-collar crooks of all types. I would never allow them the even remote possibility that if they wanted to shave money off their payrolls by targeting bad contracts (e.g. Ryan Howard) they could do something shady to make that happen.
- Due process appeal rights need to remain intact as-is.
06/15/1995 (17y11m) 6’0″ 195
Fired up to select Dominic Smith! Chance to hit for average and power while playing great defense. Special human being, too!—
Paul DePodesta (@pdepo) June 07, 2013
… My initial reaction was to blame Sandy Alderson for not bringing in adequate talent that followed the Moneyball formula: high on-base (OBP) and slugging percentage (SLG), and low strikeout rates. But upon further inspection …
God, I hated that article for how much it fundamentally misunderstands “Moneyball.” I wrote him an e-mail (well, first I Tweeted at him and he asked me to e-mail him so it’s not like I just flew off the handle, everybody) and what follows below is most of what it said:
The “Moneyball Formula” was not about OBP and SLG. It was basically all about WAR vs. salary. In 2002, Scott Hatteberg put up a 2.9 WAR as a $900,000 free agent. That’s ~$310,000 per WAR. For comparison, here’s some 2002 players’ WAR & salary:
Tim Salmon: 3.1, $10,000,000 AAV = ~$3,225,000 per WAR
Mike Piazza: 3.7, $13,000,000 AAV = ~$3,500,000 per WAR
Johnny Damon: 4.0, $7,750,000 AAV = ~$1,937,500 per WAR
Gary Sheffield: 4.9, $10,166,667 AAV = ~$2,075,000 per WAR
Jason Giambi: 6.6, $17,142,857 AAV = ~$2,600,000 per WAR
The league average was ~$2,800,000 per WAR.
So Hatteberg represented an 80-90% discount on services rendered vs paid compensation. THAT’S what Moneyball was about. It was about finding something good that nobody could see was right in front of them and being able to get it for a bargain-basement price. That’s why Chad Bradford is a perfect Moneyball player. The guy produced excellent results in the White Sox system but he didn’t have velocity or strikeouts or physique or whatever else so Billy Beane was able to pick the Sox’ pocket for Bradford (the A’s didn’t even have to send the useless Miguel Olivo to Chicago until almost a week later) and he only had to be paid league-minimum.
Ruben Tejada is the worst-hitting SS the team has had from 1973 to 2013.
Ike Davis is the worst-hitting 1B the team has had from 1973 to 2013.
Davis is the worst hitting player the team has had from 1973 to 2013, and Tejada is the 3rd-worst.
Of the six worst FIP pitching seasons by SPs from 1973 to 2013, Jeremy Hefner is 3rd-worst, Dillon Gee is 5th-worst, and Jon Niese is 6th-worst.
This is …
(h/t to my buddy D.A. for kvetching during the game tonight to inspire the focus to put this misery into numbers.)
Got into a Twitter debate with Bill Baer from Crashburn Alley. If you read through this thread, he never does acknowledge that he never statistically proved his conclusion. And for the record, Mark Simon of ESPN concluded, using the same ZiPS info that Baer was using, that the Mets’ OF in 2013 should produce the exact same OPS as in 2012, therefore making it neither better nor worse.
Craig Calcaterra (“Blogger-in-Chief at HardballTalk at NBCsports.com. Critic to the critics.”) has done tremendous work on the Alex Rodriguez scandal. Click the “Read more…” link below for all his tweets, presented without further comment in chronological order. Running total: 103 tweets, 38 blog posts & articles linked.
First, a splash of his most recent tweet …
And from here down is in chronological order starting with when the story broke …
So, like many other Mets fans recently, I’ve been contemplating the ramifications of the Mets (hypothetically) signing Michael Bourn to a $15M contract. Some pros and cons …
At first I was against it because he’s 30 and I was under the impression that speed guys age badly because guys age 30 or older are rarely ranked towards the top of stolen base leaders. However, I found evidence compiled by Jeff Zimmerman saying Read more…
12/22/1993 (18y5m) 6’1″ 180